New Poll Shows Darling Leading by 5 Points in Recall Race
Pasch campaign remains optimistic as Darling appears to be closing gap in 8th Senate District battle.
Wisconsin 8th Senate District Survey by the Mellman Group.
Mellman Group
Photos (1)
Photos
Editor's Note: Story updated at 7:30 p.m. July 26 to include comment from Darling's campaign.
While Rep. Sandy Pasch (D-Whitefish Bay) is slowly creeping up on Sen. Alberta Darling (R-River Hills) in the fight for the North Shore Senate seat, Darling still holds a 5-point lead over her challenger, according to a new poll by the Democratic blog, Daily Kos.
The poll, conducted by Public Policy Polling, says 52 percent of the likely voters will support Darling in the Aug. 9 8th Senate District recall election, with 47 percent backing Pasch. One percent said they remain undecided.
The Daily Kos poll comes in the wake of a poll released July 15 by the state Democratic Party that showed Pasch leading Darling by a margin of 47 percent to 46 percent.
That poll of 350 likely voters, conducted for the party by the Mellman Group, showed Pasch picking up an additional 8 percentage points since a similar poll in May, with Darling losing 2 percentage points.
The number of voters who said they were undecided dropped from 12 percent in May to 7 percent in July.
Darling's campaign was upbeat about the incumbent's lead in the Daily Kos poll.
“We’re very pleased to see the recently released poll numbers, but we know it’s all about turnout,” said Andrew Davis, Darling's campaign manager. “The Darling campaign has taken each day of this recall campaign very seriously and Senator Darling is working hard to make sure every Darling supporter gets to the polls on Aug. 9.”
Pasch's campaign also saw positive in the earlier poll numbers that showed her narrowing the gap with Darling.
"We are very encouraged," Gillian Morris, press secretary for the state's Democratic Party said. "It's going to obviously be a close race. We are on the ground, going door-to-door, talking to voters, getting some very encouraging words and results. We're pretty excited.
"It'll be all about who decides to get out and turn out on election day," Morris added. "They're (voters) not used to getting out and voting in August. We are very encouraged, this obviously only continues what we're seeing on the ground that it's going to be a very close race."
Do you think these numbers reflect the voters are really thinking?
Tell us in the comments.
Nate
5:25 pm on Tuesday, July 26, 2011
Oh Oh, panic time.
Scott Walker
6:51 pm on Tuesday, July 26, 2011
So the Kos made the poll, let's assume she is really up by 10 or more then.
Steve
12:01 pm on Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Hi Scott, does it suck living in liberal Madison?
Jay Sykes
7:29 pm on Tuesday, July 26, 2011
This poll should be more accurate than the earlier Mellman poll, referred to in the article;the Kos poll MoE(Margin of Error) is 2.6% vs 5.2% on Mellman and only 1% now remain undecided, with all the undecided now deciding in favor of Darling, since the last poll. Normally, this late in the game, undecideds land in the challengers camp, not the incumbents camp. With this information, on an even money bet, I'd put my money on Darling. But, who has ever had to vote in a recall election in the month of August; still way, way too close to call.
Shorelander
9:39 pm on Tuesday, July 26, 2011
I'd add that another factor is .. Democrats are far more interested in standing up to be counted, polled, surveyed. They support teachers and unions and are proud of it, and want people to know. Those on the other side are far more concerned about letting people know their political outlook, rather than be labeled a teacher hater, or enemy of the middle class .. but will vote that way in the privacy of the ballot booth.
My guess is that Republican voters are undercounted by some number for the above reason.
shelbyanne
12:51 am on Wednesday, July 27, 2011
A Fox News specialty, polls are losers trying to make it look like they are winning. Shelly Moore was incredible at the debate. Refreshing hearing someone talking about real issues. Harsdork just repeated what Walker says, word for word. I expect her to really shine at the next one. Check it out. http://hudson-wi.patch.com/articles/hudson-patch-debate-between-shelly-moore-and-sheila-harsdorf-will-be-streamed-live#video-7152405
Nate
5:56 am on Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Where do you get this is even a FOX News poll? I'm sure you want your results from MSNBC any ways.
Craig
8:05 am on Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Too bad the tax bills were being mailed out at this time, so even the idiots can see the difference.
Craig
8:20 am on Wednesday, July 27, 2011
Darling leads but she is also closing the gap - what?
"New Poll Shows Darling Leading by 5 Points in Recall Race
Pasch campaign remains optimistic as Darling appears to be closing gap in 8th Senate District battle."
Steve
12:00 pm on Wednesday, July 27, 2011
You expect sense out of an emotional campaign of obstructionists?
CowDung
12:10 pm on Wednesday, July 27, 2011
There seems to be a bit of a disconnect between the headline and the graphic for this article...
Keith Best
1:44 pm on Tuesday, August 2, 2011
I hope DA Chisolm looks into the connections between "Citizen Action" of which Pasch and her treasurer are on the Board of Directors, and "WI. Jobs Now", which hosted the Ribs for Votes picnics. The Ex. Dir. of Citizen Action Matt Brusky, also works for WI.Jobs Now. The collusion here is a class I felony.
Time to step up D.A. Chisolm.
Pete Best
2:59 pm on Tuesday, August 2, 2011
Number 9, number 9, number 9...
CowDung
3:09 pm on Tuesday, August 2, 2011
Do we really have to go around posting the same comments on every thread? There's a difference between making your point heard and spamming up the forum...